Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028: Raphael Warnock
Consensus 2% across 2 venues (Polymarket 2%, Kalshi 3%). The real-money venues are 0.9 pts apart. Updated every few minutes.
Prices by venue
| Venue | Probability | Buy YES | Buy NO | Real money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? (Raphael Warnock) | 1.9% | 2.0¢ | 98.2¢ | Yes |
| Kalshi Will Raphael Warnock be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? (Raphael Warnock) | 2.8% | 2.8¢ | 97.3¢ | Yes |
Buy YES and buy NO are the prices of one contract that pays 1 if the market settles that way. Venues word their rules differently, so read each market's rules before comparing.
Last 7 days
Hourly buckets, last price in each. The shaded band is the gap between the highest and lowest real-money price.
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