2028 Republican presidential nominee: Marco Rubio
Consensus 15% across 3 venues (Polymarket 14%, Kalshi 17%, PredictIt 18%). The real-money venues are 4.2 pts apart. Updated every few minutes.
Prices by venue
| Venue | Probability | Buy YES | Buy NO | Real money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? (Marco Rubio) | 13.9% | 13.9¢ | 86.2¢ | Yes |
| Kalshi Will Marco Rubio be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? (Marco Rubio) | 16.5% | 17.0¢ | 84.0¢ | Yes |
| PredictIt Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? (Marco Rubio) | 18.0% | 19.0¢ | 83.0¢ | Yes |
Buy YES and buy NO are the prices of one contract that pays 1 if the market settles that way. Venues word their rules differently, so read each market's rules before comparing.
Last 7 days
Hourly buckets, last price in each. The shaded band is the gap between the highest and lowest real-money price.
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