Presidential Election Winner 2028: Pete Buttigieg
Consensus 3% across 3 venues (Polymarket 3%, Kalshi 3%, PredictIt 5%). The real-money venues are 1.8 pts apart. Updated every few minutes.
Prices by venue
| Venue | Probability | Buy YES | Buy NO | Real money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | 2.8% | 2.8¢ | 97.3¢ | Yes |
| Kalshi Who will win the next presidential election? (Pete Buttigieg) | 2.9% | 3.0¢ | 97.1¢ | Yes |
| PredictIt Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? (Pete Buttigieg) | 4.5% | 5.0¢ | 96.0¢ | Yes |
Buy YES and buy NO are the prices of one contract that pays 1 if the market settles that way. Venues word their rules differently, so read each market's rules before comparing.
Last 7 days
Hourly buckets, last price in each. The shaded band is the gap between the highest and lowest real-money price.
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