Which party will win the U.S. Senate?: Republican Party
Consensus 42% across 2 venues (Kalshi 38%, PredictIt 95%). The real-money venues are 57.5 pts apart. Updated every few minutes.
Prices by venue
| Venue | Probability | Buy YES | Buy NO | Real money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi Will Republicans win the U.S. Senate in 2026? (Republican Party) | 37.5% | 38.0¢ | 63.0¢ | Yes |
| PredictIt Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Tennessee? (Republican) | 95.0% | 97.0¢ | 7.0¢ | Yes |
Buy YES and buy NO are the prices of one contract that pays 1 if the market settles that way. Venues word their rules differently, so read each market's rules before comparing.
Last 7 days
Hourly buckets, last price in each. The shaded band is the gap between the highest and lowest real-money price.
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