Los Angeles Mayor winner?: Nithya Raman
Consensus 54% across 3 venues (Kalshi 54%, PredictIt 55%, Manifold 56%). The real-money venues are 1.0 pts apart. Updated every few minutes.
Prices by venue
| Venue | Probability | Buy YES | Buy NO | Real money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? (Nithya Raman) | 53.5% | 54.0¢ | 47.0¢ | Yes |
| PredictIt Who will be elected Los Angeles mayor in 2026? (Nithya Raman) | 54.5% | 55.0¢ | 46.0¢ | Yes |
| Manifold Will Nithya Raman win Novembers LA Mayor election? | 56.0% | — | — | No, signal only |
Buy YES and buy NO are the prices of one contract that pays 1 if the market settles that way. Venues word their rules differently, so read each market's rules before comparing.
Last 7 days
Hourly buckets, last price in each. The shaded band is the gap between the highest and lowest real-money price.
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